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Wiley & SAS Business Series

The Wiley & SAS Business Series presents books that help senior-level managers with their critical management decisions.

Titles in the Wiley & SAS Business Series include:

  1. Agile by Design: An Implementation Guide to Analytic Lifecycle Management by Rachel Alt-Simmons
  2. Analytics in a Big Data World: The Essential Guide to Data Science and Its Applications by Bart Baesens
  3. Bank Fraud: Using Technology to Combat Losses by Revathi Subramanian
  4. Big Data, Big Innovation: Enabling Competitive Differentiation through Business Analytics by Evan Stubbs
  5. Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions edited by Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo
  6. Business Intelligence Applied: Implementing an Effective Information and Communications Technology Infrastructure by Michael S. Gendron
  7. Business Intelligence and the Cloud: Strategic Implementation Guide by Michael S. Gendron
  8. Business Transformation: A Roadmap for Maximizing Organizational Insights by Aiman Zeid
  9. Data-Driven Healthcare: How Analytics and BI are Transforming the Industry by Laura Madsen
  10. Delivering Business Analytics: Practical Guidelines for Best Practice by Evan Stubbs
  11. Demand-Driven Forecasting: A Structured Approach to Forecasting, Second Edition by Charles Chase
  12. Demand-Driven Inventory Optimization and Replenishment: Creating a More Efficient Supply Chain by Robert A. Davis
  13. Developing Human Capital: Using Analytics to Plan and Optimize Your Learning and Development Investments by Gene Pease, Barbara Beresford, and Lew Walker
  14. Economic and Business Forecasting: Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt, and Sam Bullard
  15. Financial Institution Advantage and the Optimization of Information Processing by Sean C. Keenan
  16. Financial Risk Management: Applications in Market, Credit, Asset, and Liability Management and Firmwide Risk by Jimmy Skoglund and Wei Chen
  17. Fraud Analytics Using Descriptive, Predictive, and Social Network Techniques: A Guide to Data Science for Fraud Detection by Bart Baesens, Veronique Van Vlasselaer, and Wouter Verbeke
  18. Harness Oil and Gas Big Data with Analytics: Optimize Exploration and Production with Data Driven Models by Keith Holdaway
  19. Health Analytics: Gaining the Insights to Transform Health Care by Jason Burke
  20. Heuristics in Analytics: A Practical Perspective of What Influences Our Analytical World by Carlos Andre, Reis Pinheiro, and Fiona McNeill
  21. Hotel Pricing in a Social World: Driving Value in the Digital Economy by Kelly McGuire
  22. Implement, Improve and Expand Your Statewide Longitudinal Data System: Creating a Culture of Data in Education by Jamie McQuiggan and Armistead Sapp
  23. Killer Analytics: Top 20 Metrics Missing from Your Balance Sheet by Mark Brown
  24. Mobile Learning: A Handbook for Developers, Educators, and Learners by Scott McQuiggan, Lucy Kosturko, Jamie McQuiggan, and Jennifer Sabourin
  25. The Patient Revolution: How Big Data and Analytics Are Transforming the Healthcare Experience by Krisa Tailor
  26. Predictive Analytics for Human Resources by Jac Fitz-enz and John Mattox II
  27. Predictive Business Analytics: Forward-Looking Capabilities to Improve Business Performance by Lawrence Maisel and Gary Cokins
  28. Statistical Thinking: Improving Business Performance, Second Edition by Roger W. Hoerl and Ronald D. Snee
  29. Too Big to Ignore: The Business Case for Big Data by Phil Simon
  30. Trade-Based Money Laundering: The Next Frontier in International Money Laundering Enforcement by John Cassara
  31. Understanding the Predictive Analytics Lifecycle by Al Cordoba
  32. Unleashing Your Inner Leader: An Executive Coach Tells All by Vickie Bevenour
  33. Using Big Data Analytics: Turning Big Data into Big Money by Jared Dean
  34. The Visual Organization: Data Visualization, Big Data, and the Quest for Better Decisions by Phil Simon
  35. Visual Six Sigma, Second Edition by Ian Cox, Marie Gaudard, Philip Ramsey, Mia Stephens, and Leo Wright

For more information on any of the above titles, please visit www.wiley.com.

Credit Risk Analytics

Measurement Techniques, Applications, and Examples in SAS

 

Bart Baesens
Daniel Rösch
Harald Scheule

 

 

 

 

 

Title Page

To my wonderful wife, Katrien, and kids Ann-Sophie, Victor, and Hannelore.
To my parents and parents-in-law. Bart Baesens
To Claudi and Timo Elijah. Daniel Rösch
To Cindy, Leo, and Lina: a book about goodies and baddies. Harald Scheule

Acknowledgments

It is a great pleasure to acknowledge the contributions and assistance of various colleagues, friends, and fellow credit risk analytics lovers to the writing of this book. This text is the result of many years of research and teaching in credit risk modeling and analytics. We first would like to thank our publisher, John Wiley & Sons, for accepting our book proposal less than one year ago, and Rebecca Croser for providing amazing editing work for our chapters.

We are grateful to the active and lively scientific and industry communities for providing various publications, user forums, blogs, online lectures, and tutorials, which have proven to be very helpful.

We would also like to acknowledge the direct and indirect contributions of the many colleagues, fellow professors, students, researchers, and friends with whom we have collaborated over the years.

Last but not least, we are grateful to our partners, kids, parents, and families for their love, support, and encouragement.

We have tried to make this book as complete, accurate, and enjoyable as possible. Of course, what really matters is what you, the reader, think of it. The authors welcome all feedback and comments, so please feel free to let us know your thoughts!

Bart Baesens
Daniel Rösch
Harald Scheule
September 2016

About the Authors

Bart Baesens

Bart Baesens is a professor at KU Leuven (Belgium) and a lecturer at the University of Southampton (United Kingdom). He has done extensive research on big data and analytics, credit risk modeling, customer relationship management, and fraud detection. His findings have been published in well-known international journals and presented at top-level international conferences. He is the author of various books, including Analytics in a Big Data World (see http://goo.gl/kggtJp) and Fraud Analytics Using Descriptive, Predictive, and Social Network Techniques (see http://goo.gl/P1cYqe). He also offers e-learning courses on credit risk modeling (see http://goo.gl/cmC2So) and advanced analytics in a big data world (see https://goo.gl/2xA19U). His research is summarized at www.dataminingapps.com. He regularly tutors, advises, and provides consulting support to international firms with respect to their big data, analytics, and credit risk management strategy.

Daniel Rösch

Daniel Rösch is a Professor of Business and Management and holds the chair in Statistics and Risk Management at the University of Regensburg (Germany). Prior to joining the University of Regensburg in 2013, he was Professor of Finance and Director of the Institute of Banking and Finance at Leibniz University of Hannover from 2007 to 2013. He earned a PhD (Dr. rer. pol.) in 1998 for work on empirical asset pricing. From 2006 to 2011 he was visiting researcher at the University of Melbourne. Since 2011 he has been visiting professor at the University of Technology in Sydney. His research interests cover banking, quantitative financial risk management, credit risk, asset pricing, and empirical statistical and econometric methods and models. He has published numerous papers in leading international journals, earned several awards and honors, and regularly presents at major international conferences.

Rösch's service in the profession has included his roles as president of the German Finance Association, co-founder and member of the board of directors of the Hannover Center of Finance, and deputy managing director of the work group Finance and Financial Institutions of the Operations Research Society. He currently serves on the editorial board of the Journal of Risk Model Validation. Professor Rösch has worked with financial institutions and supervisory bodies such as Deutsche Bundesbank in joint research projects. Among others, his work has been funded by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, the Thyssen Krupp Foundation, the Frankfurt Institute for Finance and Regulation, the Melbourne Centre for Financial Studies, and the Australian Centre for International Finance and Regulation. In 2014 the German Handelsblatt ranked him among the top 10 percent of German-speaking researchers in business and management.

Harald Scheule

Harald “Harry” Scheule is Associate Professor of Finance at the University of Technology, Sydney, and a regional director of the Global Association of Risk Professionals. His expertise is in the areas of asset pricing, banking, credit and liquidity risk, home equity release, house prices in distress, insurance, mortgages, prudential regulation, securities evaluation, and structured finance

Scheule's award-winning research has been widely cited and published in leading journals. He currently serves on the editorial board of the Journal of Risk Model Validation. He is author or editor of various books.

Harry has worked with prudential regulators of financial institutions and undertaken consulting work for a wide range of financial institutions and service providers in Asia, Australia, Europe, and North America. These institutions have applied his work to improve their risk management practices, comply with regulations, and transfer financial risks.